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I'm back!
Saturday, April 14th, 2012 14:06


I expected to return a bit earlier to this blog, but some things have come up, and only now I have the chance to post my picks again.


I thought a lot about my betting style, and I've decided to focus mainly on Asian Handicaps and Over/Under in football. There won't be any tennis picks, although I had a nice profit there.


As for the stake management, I'll adopt a 3, 5, 7 or, very rarely, a 10unit bet.


I have big expectations for this "project", and I hope I can help you beat the bookies.



Good Luck!








Sunday, May 13th, 2012 11:00
Football - Portugal
Pick:  Moreirense   Result: Pending
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.50  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Bet365   vCash: No
Posted: May 13, 2012, 06:25











Sporting - Braga    +4.8
Saturday, May 12th, 2012 15:15
Football - Portugal
Discuss in forum (3 entries)
Pick:  Sporting (+0.25)   Result: 3-2
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.48  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: May 12, 2012, 04:47




Can't see Sporting losing today. It's the last match of the season, and although things are decided in the league, Sporting still has a match in the cup final. Braga play for nothing and go on holidays after this.


I'm pretty sure Sporting won't lose. Braga has enough quality to win, but not today and in this circumstances.








Saturday, April 21st, 2012 13:15
Football - Por. Superliga
Discuss in forum (3 entries)
Pick:  Guimaraes   Result: 3-2
Stake:  10/10   Odds:  1.75  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 20, 2012, 18:58




I'm, confident Guimarães will win tomorrow. Both clubs are experiencing financial problems. Guimaraes' players started being paid a few days ago, while Leiria's players are still waiting. Hugo Alcantara already resigned, and the morale is not good.



Guimaraes' fans are demanding, and even though the players are going through some hard times, they'll accept nothing less than the win, against a weakened side. Quality is higher in the home side, and to me, they're clear favorites to win this game.








Friday, April 20th, 2012 14:15
Football - Portugal
Discuss in forum (4 entries)
Pick:  Over 2.5   Result: 1-1
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  2.11  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 19, 2012, 16:40




Braga has been impressive this season, but their last 2 defeats, against title contenders, must have done some damage. Paços is safe from relegation, and in front of their supporters, should try to play an attractive match.



It's never easy to play in Mata Real, but Braga has more than enough quality to get the win. It won't be easy and I expect Paços to score, with Melgarejo as their dangerman. I can see a 1-2 or 1-3 tomorrow, so I'm taking this over.








Sunday, April 15th, 2012 14:30
Football - Spa. Primera
Discuss in forum (10 entries)
Pick:  Vallecano (+0.5)   Result: 0-1
Stake:  3/10   Odds:  1.93  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 15, 2012, 14:20




Rayo is too underrated here. They are a nice home side, and Atletico isn't completely focused in the league.


With the match against Valencia in a couple of days, I expect their motivation to be lower than it should, while Rayo, safe from relegation, will try to leave a good image in the lasting matches of the season.








Sunday, April 15th, 2012 10:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga I
Discuss in forum (6 entries)
Pick:  Freiburg (+0)   Result: 0-0
Stake:  3/10   Odds:  1.85  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 15, 2012, 10:20




Going with the home factor here, which I believe Freiburg can use well.






Sunday, April 15th, 2012 12:00
Football - Eng. FA Cup
Discuss in forum (5 entries)
Pick:  Tottenham (+0)   Result: 1-4
Stake:  5/10   Odds:  1.94  Verified odd Bookmaker:  PINNACLE   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 15, 2012, 08:55




Really nice odds for the Spurs today. They aren't as strong as some months ago, but in such an important match, I believe they can play a good match. Chelsea, whether they like it or not, will be more focused on the game against Barça, while Tottenham has a unique chance to "save" the season.








14/02
Sunday, April 15th, 2012 06:21


It was a good day. Two won bets: the one with most confidence easily won, as Levante even scored first, but Messi (always him), gave Barça the victory. 



As for Portugal's match, the over was won, but it was a little harder. At 75th minute it was 1-0 to Benfica. Gil scored and at that moment I was pretty confident Benfica would score the 2nd. It happened five minutes later, by Javier Saviola. I think he should have more opportunities to show he's still a great player. Maybe that's why Benfica won't win the league... Ah, and the first goal was scored by Rodrigo, as I also predicted :D


For today, I'm with an eye on Granada. At least not to lose. Or maybe the over. Zaragoza needs the 3 points, and Granada, practically secured in first division, is more relaxed now.








Sunday, April 15th, 2012 06:30
Football - Ger. Bundesliga II
Pick:  Paderborn   Result: 3-1
Stake:  3/10   Odds:  1.85  Verified odd Bookmaker:  Interwetten   vCash: No
Posted: Apr 15, 2012, 05:21











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Info

Odds verification provided in cooperation with OddsOddsOdds.com 10 verified odds
0 unverified odds

Total resets:5
Last reset: 14.04.2012


9
picks
+8
profit
+18%
yield
 
Win-Loss-Void: 5-3-1 
Win rate: 63% 
Stake avg.: 5.4 
Odd avg.: 1.75 
Staked: 46.00 
Returned: 54.27 
Streak: ?WinWinLossLossVoidLossWin 
vCash (0/0): + $0.00 
 
 
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